UPPSC PCS - 2014
Conception of the acts, outcomes and contingencies associated with a particular choice is knows as
Year Asked: 2014
Correct Answer
A. Decision frame
Detailed Explanation
The correct answer is A) Decision frame. The decision frame is the decision maker's mental conception of the acts available, the possible outcomes, and the contingencies linked to a choice. This is a judgment and decision-making concept, and the way a problem is framed often decides the choice made. Kahneman and Tversky's work on framing effects, which underlies prospect theory, shows that the same outcomes described as gains or losses lead to different choices.
- B) Decision base rate is wrong. The base rate is the prior probability of an event in the population, used in Bayesian reasoning. It is a statistical input, not a conception of acts and outcomes.
- C) Decision axis is wrong. It is not a recognised term in decision theory and does not describe how a choice is conceived.
- D) Decision rule is wrong. A decision rule is the criterion used to pick among alternatives, such as maximin, maximax or minimax regret. It operates after the options are framed; it does not define them.
For Mains, this ties into ethics and public administration: how a policy problem is framed (for example, welfare as a 'subsidy' or as a 'right') shapes the options officials consider.
Trap: aspirants pick 'decision rule' because it sounds like the method of choosing. The question asks how the choice is conceived, which is the frame, not the rule used to select.
This question appeared in UPPCS 2014 GS Paper 2.
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