UPSC IAS - 2016

Which of the following best describes the term ‘import cover,’ sometimes seen in the news?

Year Asked: 2016

A
It is the ratio of value of imports to the Gross Domestic Product of a country
B
It is the total value of imports of a country in a year
C
It is the ratio between the value of exports and that of imports between two countries
D
It is the number of months of imports that could be paid for by a country’s international reserves

Correct Answer

D. It is the number of months of imports that could be paid for by a country’s international reserves

Detailed Explanation

The answer is D. Import cover tells you how many months of imports a country's foreign exchange reserves can finance if exports and capital inflows stopped. It is calculated as reserves divided by the monthly import bill, so it measures external buffer strength, not trade volume.

  • A is wrong: the ratio of imports to GDP measures trade openness or import dependence, which is a different ratio.
  • B is wrong: total import value is just the annual import bill, a flow figure with no comparison to reserves.
  • C is wrong: a bilateral export-import ratio indicates the trade balance between two partners, not import cover.

Core concept: external sector stability and forex reserve adequacy. The RBI tracks import cover alongside the reserves-to-short-term-debt ratio, and it fits Mains GS-III questions on balance of payments and currency defence. Movements in reserves during rupee defence operations can be read directly through this indicator.

Trap: aspirants confuse it with the trade-to-GDP ratio in option A, because both involve imports and a ratio. Here the numerator is reserves and the denominator is the monthly import bill.

This question appeared in UPSC Prelims 2016 GS Paper-1.

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